What to watch for: NLDS Game 4

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by Mike Feigen

San Francisco Giants lead Washington Nationals, 2-1

9:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

The Scene

What a difference a day makes. After the Nationals fell behind two games to none at home, they forced their way back into the series with a 4-1 victory in Game 3. The key play of the game — and the Nationals hope the series — came on a bunt by catcher Wilson Ramos, which Giants’ starter Madison Bumgarner fired wide of third base, allowing Ian Desmond and Bryce Harper to score. Doug Fister threw seven shutout innings for the victory, while Harper added a solo homer deep over the right field wall in the ninth.

The Stakes

Despite losing some of its momentum, San Francisco still finds itself one win away from qualifying for the NLCS against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Nationals one-game-at-a-time approach won’t allow them to look past Game 4, so both teams should come out with matching levels of intensity. Like Game 3, the Nats will be facing a pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong with an incredible run of postseason success, so they’ll need to continue to have the type of good at-bats they put together toward the end of Monday’s contest.

Washington Lineup

CF Denard Span

3B Anthony Rendon

RF Jayson Werth

1B Adam LaRoche

SS Ian Desmond

LF Bryce Harper

C Wilson Ramos

2B Asdrubal Cabrera

LHP Gio Gonzalez

San Francisco Lineup

CF Gregor Blanco

2B Joe Panik

C Buster Posey

RF Hunter Pence

3B Pablo Sandoval

1B Brandon Belt

SS Brandon Crawford

LF Juan Perez

RHP Ryan Vogelsong

The Starters

Gio Gonzalez earns his third career postseason start Tuesday night, following his starts in Game 1 and Game 5 of the 2012 NLDS against the St. Louis Cardinals. Gonzalez allowed just six hits in 10 innings over those two starts, but walked 11 against just 10 strikeouts. The good news for Nats fans is the talented left-hander has exhibited an excellent level of control in 2014, posting a career-best 2.9-to-1 strikeout-to-walk rate — including a 6.2-to-1 rate in the month of September.

Right-hander Ryan Vogelsong has put up Fister-like numbers in the postseason, going 3-0 with a 1.09 in four career starts. However, he has not been nearly as good since the Giants’ 2012 World Series run, going 12-19 with a 4.62 ERA over 51 starts in the past two seasons. He allowed four runs or more in four of his five September starts, including losses to NL West foes Colorado, Arizona and San Diego (twice).

The Offenses

The Nationals put up four runs in the final three innings of Monday’s win, more than the three runs they pushed across in the series’ first 33 frames. They will look to keep the momentum going in Game 4, using the same lineup that appeared to finally wake up with several hard hit balls late in Game 3. They have shown success against Vogelsong in 2013, scoring six runs on nine hits against him on June 9 and another three runs on four hits and four walks on August 24.

Suddenly, the Giants are the club trying to find themselves at the plate, as they’ve scored just six runs in the series. Manager Bruce Bochy has shuffled his lineup for the first time since postseason play began, swapping Hunter Pence and Pablo Sandoval in the No. 4 and No. 5 spots in the order and inserting right-handed hitting left fielder Juan Perez into the No. 8 spot. Leadoff hitter Gregor Blanco has batted just 1-for-14 (.071) with one walk in the series.

The Best of the Rest

The Nationals again will rely on right-handed Ryan Zimmerman and lefty Nate Schierholtz as their primary bats off the bench. Each has a hit in the series, and the duo provides Matt Williams with matchup problems for the Giants. With Perez moving into the starting lineup, regular left fielder Travis Ishikawa (2-for-10) should be the primary bat off the bench in the late innings.

After Fister’s gem, Tyler Clippard and Drew Storen each pitched one inning in Game 3, with Storen surrendering a run prior to recording the final out. With the day off Sunday, the entire ‘pen should be available, including Tanner Roark and perhaps Stephen Strasburg. The Giants also have a stable of arms at their disposal, though long man Yusmeiro Petit may not yet be available after his six-inning performance in Game 2.

1 Comment

Never ever win the Eastern Division Championship again. Go for the Wild Card every time. It is very clear that baseball is a game of rythym. Those that continue in a constant rythym have the advantage. Those that suffer through an extended layover tend to lose. That and it is time to trade Gio Gonzales for a pitcher who is practiced at fielding his position. It is obvious that Gio does not take that part of his play seriously.

Harold G. Pavel

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